One Artificial Intelligence. One trading infrastructure.

Two profitable strategies for different risk appetites.

When you activate Mercurius Tradr, our trading bot for Betfair Exchange, you get access to our AI-powered strategies. They all share the same philosophy and the very same infrastructure to secure you the best execution possible, but they have different risk profiles, so that you can choose which one best suits your investment goals.

Strategy goal and highlights

DynamoXG is a RoMad driven strategy, which means that its goal is to maximise the ratio between yearly returns and max drawdowns.
The goal of this strategy is to increase the yearly returns yielded via quantitative fundamental value betting by increasing the amount of value bets selected.

Annualised ROC
Annual volatility
Single bet size
Strike rate
Avg Odd

Daily profit and loss

Full list of operations

Markets composition

League 1X2 AH Composition
Home Draw Away Home Away

The 3 pillars of all our sports trading strategies.

1. Sports trading approach

Our sports trading approach is based on quantitative analysis of sporting events' fundamentals. At its core lie Machine Learning and Bayesian Learning alghoritms that estimate the fair odds for upcoming football matches from Wyscout’s data feed. This approach aims to estimate a more likelihood probability distribution of future outcomes for a given match than the one derived from odds available in the betting market in order to find operations that yield positive expected value.

If you want to learn more about our trading approach have a look at our methodology page.

2. Betting markets

At the moment Mercurius' technology can operate on 13 different football leagues.

The selected automated strategy is executed within Betfair's exchange betting on the backside of the Asian Handicap and the "Home Draw Away" market. Although the core philosophical principles of each one of the two available strategies are the same, the triggers needed for placing orders, the type of selected outcomes and the leagues covered varies.

Triggers, leagues and outcomes vary from strategy to strategy because each one is designed to maximise different parameters in order to better fit the user's unique personality and risk profile.

3. Staking plan & order execution

The staking plan is Kelly’s Criterion capped at 1%. This means every bet will be 1% of a compounded bankroll. On a single event we may place bets on more than one market (1% on the money line and 1% on the AH) depending on the edge. We know execution is crucial. After analysing hundreds of millions of data points from Betfair's historical record of price action we developed as set of key features to optimize our execution and to accommodate all the liquidity of our clients.

Iceberg alghoritm

Iceberg alghoritm

To ensure the desired amount is allocated in the value zone, the algorithm splits wagers over characteristics times for each individual league, this minimises slippage and prevent us from harming the market

Clustered execution

Clustered execution

This feature is built to give priority to higher bankrolls, and efficiently place all the liquidity demanded by our clients.

Dynamic value detection

Dynamic value detection

When slippage occurs, if the value moves from one outcome to another, the algorithm will wager the unmatched liquidity on the new outcome as long as it has a positive expected value.

Do you want to know more about our latest sports trading strategies?

Download the Information Document to learn about:

  • The statistical models
  • The trading approach
  • Leagues and portfolio composition
  • Yearly and monthly P&L (profits and losses)